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Higgins Capital Management, Inc.

Financial Panics and The Madness of The Crowd

Financial history is rife with narratives of speculative fervor followed by devastating market collapses. From the tulip mania of the 17th century to the recent cryptocurrency bubbles, these episodes underscore the volatile nature of markets and the susceptibility of investors to irrational behavior. Understanding the commonalities among these events is crucial for sophisticated investors navigating today's financial landscape.

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Examining 20 of the most significant financial panics reveals striking parallels with the current state of the US financial markets. Each crisis, though unique in its triggers, shares fundamental characteristics that offer valuable insights into market behavior and investor psychology. For instance, the Housing Bubble and Subprime Mortgage Crisis of the 2000s mirrored past bubbles like the Dot-com Bubble of the 1990s, with both driven by excessive speculation and a disconnect from underlying fundamentals.

Similarly, the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression serve as cautionary tales of the dangers of leverage and speculative excesses. Today, echoes of these events can be heard in the frothy valuations of certain asset classes and the proliferation of complex financial instruments. Moreover, the emergence of new technologies has given rise to novel forms of speculation, as seen in the recent NFT Market Bubble and Canadian Cannabis Stock Bubble.

Despite the madness of the crowd, there are valuable lessons to be learned. Prudent risk management, a thorough understanding of market fundamentals, and a holistic approach to portfolio construction are essential for navigating volatile markets. Additionally, the interconnected nature of global financial markets highlights the significance of monitoring geopolitical risks and international economic developments.

This Bull Market will end in tears. They always do. The challenge of wealth building is not what you make, but what you keep. By understanding market exuberance and leveraging insights from past crises, investors can mitigate the risks of financial turmoil.

The information contained in this Higgins Capital communication is provided for information purposes and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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